Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the Tropics

Goldstein, Eyal, Erinjery, Joseph J., Martin, Gerardo, Kasturiratne, Anuradhani, Ediriweera, Dileepa Senajith, Somaweera, Ruchira, Janaka de Silva, Hithanadura, Diggle, Peter, Lalloo, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7680-2200, Murray, Kris A. and Iwamura, Takuya (2023) 'Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the Tropics'. iScience, Vol 26, Issue 2, e105946.

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Abstract

Snakebite affects more than 1.8 million people annually. Factors explaining snakebite variability include farmers’ behaviors, snake ecology and climate. One unstudied issue is how farmers’ adaptation to novel climates affect their health. Here we examined potential impacts of adaptation on snakebite using individual-based simulations, focusing on strategies meant to counteract major crop yield decline due to changing rainfall in Sri Lanka. For rubber cropping, adaptation led to a 33% increase in snakebite incidence per farmer work hour due to work during risky months, but a 17% decrease in total annual snakebites due to decreased labour in plantations overall. Rice farming adaptation decreased snakebites by 16%, due to shifting labour towards safer months, while tea adaptation led to a general increase. These results indicate that adaptation could have both a positive and negative effect, potentially intensified by ENSO. Our research highlights the need for assessing adaptation strategies for potential health maladaptations.

Item Type:	Article
Subjects:	WA Public Health > WA 30 Socioeconomic factors in public health (General) WA Public Health > WA 30.2 Climate Change WB Practice of Medicine > Medical Climatology > WB 710 Diseases of geographic areas WC Communicable Diseases > Tropical and Parasitic Diseases > WC 680 Tropical diseases (General) WD Disorders of Systemic, Metabolic or Environmental Origin, etc > Animal Poisons > WD 410 Reptiles
Faculty: Department:	Biological Sciences > Department of Tropical Disease Biology
Digital Object Identifer (DOI):	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.105946
SWORD Depositor:	JISC Pubrouter
Depositing User:	JISC Pubrouter
Date Deposited:	09 Feb 2023 16:01
Last Modified:	08 Oct 2024 12:36
URI:	https://archive.lstmed.ac.uk/id/eprint/21761

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